Week 11 NFL Picks

Week 10 Results:
Consensus Picks: 4-1-1
Drive Method: 7-6-1
Metric Method: 10-3-1
QBR Method: 7-6-1

Week 10 is a pivotal week for many playoff hopefuls, and features numerous marquee match-ups. Here are my model’s picks for this week:

Game Drive Pick Metric Pick QBR Pick
GB @ SEA (-2.5) SEA -2.5 SEA -2.5 SEA -2.5
DAL @ ATL (-3) DAL +3 DAL +3 ATL -3
CIN @ BAL (-4.5) BAL -4.5 BAL -4.5 CIN +4.5
TEN @ IND (-2) IND -2 IND -2 IND -2
CAR (-4) @ DET DET +4 DET +4 DET +4
TB @ NYG (-1.5) NYG -1.5 NYG -1.5 TB +1.5
HOU (-3) @ WAS WAS +3 WAS +3 WAS +3
PIT (-5.5) @ JAC JAC +5.5 PIT -5.5 JAC +5.5
OAK @ ARI (-5.5) OAK +5.5 OAK +5.5 OAK +5.5
DEN @ LAC (-7) LAC -7 DEN +7 LAC -7
PHI @ NO (-9) PHI +9 PHI +9 NO -9
MIN @ CHI (-2.5) CHI -2.5 CHI -2.5 CHI -2.5
KC @ LAR (-3.5) KC +3.5 KC +3.5 KC +3.5

Methodology:
Drive Method: Uses average drive statistics such as Points per Drive and TD%
Metric Method: Uses advanced metrics such as SRS and EXP
QBR Method: Uses win statistics and Team QB Ratings

Consensus Picks:
SEA -2.5
IND -2
DET +4
WAS +3
OAK +5.5
CHI -2.5
KC +3.5

Advertisements

4 thoughts on “Week 11 NFL Picks

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s