Week 12 NFL Picks

Week 11 Results:

Week 11 Results Season Results
Consensus Picks 7-0-0 11-1-1
Drive Picks 10-3-0 17-9-1
Metric Picks 10-3-0 20-6-1
QBR Picks 10-3-0 17-9-1

As playoff pictures start to become clear, Week 11 is a crucial week for many NFL teams. Here are my model’s picks for this week:

Game Drive Pick Metric Pick QBR Pick
CHI (-2.5) @ DET CHI -2.5 CHI -2.5 DET +2.5
WAS @ DAL (-7) WAS +7 WAS +7 WAS +7
ATL @ NO (-12.5) ATL +13 NO -13 ATL +13
OAK @ BAL (-10.5) BAL -10.5 BAL -10.5 OAK +10.5
JAX (-3) @ BUF BUF +3 BUF +3 JAX -3
SEA @ CAR (-3.5) SEA +3.5 SEA +3.5 SEA +3.5
CLE @ CIN (-3) CLE +3 CLE +3 CIN -3
NE (-9.5) @ NYJ NYJ +9.5  NYJ +9.5  NYJ +9.5
NYG @ PHI (-6) NYG +6  NYG +6  NYG +6
SF @ TB (-3.5) SF +3.5 TB -3.5 SF +3.5
MIA @ IND (-7.5) IND -7.5 IND -7.5 MIA +7.5
ARI @ LAC (-12.5) ARI +12.5 LAC -12.5 LAC -12.5
PIT (-3) @ DEN DEN +3 PIT -3 PIT -3
GB @ MIN (-3) GB +3 GB +3 GB +3
TEN @ HOU (-6) TEN +6 TEN +6 TEN +6

Methodology:
Drive Method: Uses average drive statistics such as Points per Drive and TD%
Metric Method: Uses advanced metrics such as SRS and EXP
QBR Method: Uses win statistics and Team QB Ratings

Consensus Picks:
WAS +7
SEA +3.5
NYJ +9.5
NYG +6
GB +3
TEN +6

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