Week 14 NFL Picks

Week 13 Results:

Week 13 Results Season Results
Consensus Picks 4-2-0 17-7-1 (.680)
Drive Picks 9-6-0 33-23-1 (.579)
Metric Picks 10-5-0 39-17-1 (.684)
QBR Picks 7-8-0 28-28-1 (.491)

As division battles heat up and the playoff picture is becoming clear, there are many important match-ups this week. Here are my model’s picks for this week:

Game Drive Pick Metric Pick QBR Pick
JAX @ TEN (-4.5) TEN -4 JAX +4 TEN -4
IND @ HOU (-4.5) IND +4.5 HOU -4.5 HOU -4.5
NYJ @ BUF (-3.5) NYJ +3.5 NYJ +3.5 NYJ +3.5
CAR (-1.5) @ CLE CLE +1.5 CLE +1.5 CAR -1.5
BAL @ KC (-6.5) KC -6.5 BAL +6.5 KC -6.5
NE (-7.5) @ MIA MIA +7.5 NE -7.5 MIA +7.5
NO (-8) @ TB NO -8 NO -8 TB +8
NYG (-3.5) @ WAS WAS +3.5 WAS +3.5 WAS +3.5
ATL @ GB (-5.5) GB -5.5 ATL +5.5 GB -5.5
CIN @ LAC (-14) LAC -14 LAC -14 CIN +14
DEN (-5.5) @ SF SF +5.5 DEN -5.5 SF +5.5
DET (-2.5) @ ARI DET -2.5 DET -2.5 DET -2.5
PHI @ DAL (-3.5) DAL -3.5 DAL -3.5 PHI +3.5
PIT (10.5) @ OAK OAK +10.5 PIT -10.5 OAK +10.5
LAR (-3) @ CHI CHI +3 CHI +3 CHI +3
MIN @ SEA (-3) SEA -3 SEA -3 SEA -3

Methodology:
Drive Method: Uses average drive statistics such as Points per Drive and TD%
Metric Method: Uses advanced metrics such as SRS and EXP
QBR Method: Uses win statistics and Team QB Ratings

Consensus Picks:
WAS +3.5
NYJ +3.5
DET -2.5
CHI +3
SEA -3

If you would like to to continue seeing these picks every week, please consider donating via PayPal here so I can continue updating the models.

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7 thoughts on “Week 14 NFL Picks

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