Week 7 NFL Picks

Week 6 Results:

Week 6 Results Season Results
Consensus Picks 3-5-0 7-13-0 (.350)
Metric Picks 7-7-0 23-21-0 (.523)
Drive Picks 8-6-0 26-18-0 (.591)
QBR Picks 5-9-0 15-29-0 (.341)

Once again, consensus picks finish in the negative, going 3-5 in week 6. However, they held positive CLV for the third straight week with +3, bringing the season total to +9.5 over 20 games.

Here are my models’ picks for the week:

Game

Metric Pick Drive Pick QBR Pick
KC (-3) @ DEN DEN +3  DEN +3

KC -3

OAK @ GB (-5.5)

GB -5.5 OAK +5.5  OAK +5.5
MIA @ BUF (-17) BUF -17 MIA +17

BUF -17

LAR (-3) @ ATL

LAR -3 LAR -3 ATL +3
MIN (-1.5) @ DET MIN -1.5 MIN -1.5

DET +1.5

HOU @ IND (-1)

HOU +1

HOU +1

HOU +1
ARI @ NYG (-3) ARI +3 ARI +3

ARI +3

SF (-10) @ WAS

SF -10 SF -10 SF -10
JAC (-3.5) @ CIN  JAC -3.5  JAC -3.5

 JAC -3.5

LAC @ TEN (-2)

TEN -2 LAC +2 TEN -2
NO @ CHI (-3) NO +3 NO +3

NO +3

BAL @ SEA (-3.5)

BAL +3.5 BAL +3.5 SEA -3.5
PHI @ DAL (-3) DAL -3 DAL -3

DAL -3

NE (-9.5) @ NYJ

NE -9.5 NE -9.5 NE -9.5

Methodology:
Drive Model: Uses average drive statistics such as Points per Drive and TD%
Metric Model: Uses advanced metrics such as SRS and EXP
QBR Model: Uses win statistics and team QB Ratings

Consensus Picks:
HOU +1
ARI +3
SF -10
JAC -3.5
NO +3
DAL -3
NE -9.5

If you would like to to continue seeing these picks every week, please consider donating via PayPal here so I can continue updating the models.

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