Week 8 NFL Picks

Week 7 Results:

Week 7 Results Season Results
Consensus Picks 5-2-0 12-15-0 (.444)
Metric Picks 10-4-0 33-25-0 (.569)
Drive Picks 9-5-0 35-23-0 (.603)
QBR Picks 7-7-0 22-36-0 (.379)

Consensus picks were finally positive this week, going 5-2. However, the CLV of these picks also flipped, with a total of -1.5 this week and +8 this season.

Here are my models’ picks for the week:

 

Game

Metric Pick Drive Pick QBR Pick
WAS @ MIN (-16) MIN -16  WAS +16

MIN -16

SEA (-3.5) @ ATL

SEA -3.5 SEA -3.5 SEA -3.5
DEN @ IND (-6) DEN +6 DEN +6

IND -6

ARI @ NO (-9.5)

ARI +9.5 ARI +9.5 NO -9.5
LAC @ CHI (-4) LAC +4 LAC +4

CHI -4

NYJ @ JAC (-6)

JAC -6

JAC -6

JAC -6
CIN @ LAR (-13) LAR -13 CIN +13

LAR -13

NYG @ DET (-7)

DET -7 NYG +7 DET -7
TB @ TEN (-2.5) TB +2.5 TB +2.5

TEN -2.5

PHI @ BUF (-1.5)

BUF -1.5

BUF -1.5

BUF -1.5

CAR @ SF (-5.5) SF -5.5 CAR +5.5

SF -5.5

OAK @ HOU (-6.5)

HOU -6.5 OAK +6.5  OAK +6.5
CLE @ NE (-13) NE -13 NE -13

NE -13

GB (-4.5) @ KC

KC +4.5 KC +4.5 KC +4.5

MIA @ PIT (-14.5)

PIT -14.5 MIA +14.5 PIT -14.5

Methodology:
Drive Model: Uses average drive statistics such as Points per Drive and TD%
Metric Model: Uses advanced metrics such as SRS and EXP
QBR Model: Uses win statistics and team QB Ratings

Consensus Picks:
SEA -3.5
JAC -6
BUF -1.5
NE -13
KC +4.5

If you would like to to continue seeing these picks every week, please consider donating via PayPal here so I can continue updating the models.

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